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Proposed $2,000/month Canada Emergency Response Benefit
April 8, 2020
7:36 am
Bud
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savemoresaveoften said

one requirement is min $5k employment income in 2019 or past 12 months.  

How will they check. The application process appears to be simple check off a box that u meet requirement. Is cross referencing to 2019 return automated or rejected automatically for those who dont qualify or is it on the honor system?

April 8, 2020
9:27 am
SaverJunior
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Bud said
How will they check.  

I believe you will get the benefit almost right away if you apply for it. They won't check now, as many still hasn't filed their 2019 tax return yet. Plus the govt wants money get to the needed soon as possible. But I definitely saw somewhere on the Canada website that these applications will be audited within the year. The benefits will be repaid with penalties by the ineligibles. Just look at the number of new hires at CRA just for the purpose of auditing tax evasion in the past 4 years make this no bluff.

For employees, your T4s. For self-employed individuals, be prepared for proof of income from your employer or clients. It can't be made up. This is a benefit for Workers.

April 8, 2020
9:33 am
Bill
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(SaverJunior, you answered while I was writing.) 2019 returns aren't due until June 1, no-one's said it's only available if you've filed your return. Plus this thing was set up pretty quick, and the PM has said the priority is to get money out asap since that's what people are clamouring for. At one time I heard him say something to the effect that they'd be doing the checks after the fact, that right now all they care about is getting money out asap and that he expects Canadians not to "game" the system, that there will be stiff penalties for those that do.

April 8, 2020
12:19 pm
savemoresaveoften
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For seasonal workers that are supposed to start in April and now cant, will they consider gaming the system if they apply starting mid April/May ? I hope the government is more clear on specifics like that.

April 8, 2020
2:46 pm
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Such seasonal workers do not qualify for the CERB because their employment ended last year, long before COVID-19 was an issue.

April 9, 2020
6:14 am
savemoresaveoften
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Norman1 said
Such seasonal workers do not qualify for the CERB because their employment ended last year, long before COVID-19 was an issue.  

I read some news saying 500k workers fall under that category. Govt look after student's summer job and not seasonal workers that work every year.
If anything the $5k min earn from past 12 months should qualify a seasonal worker in my mind.

April 9, 2020
8:51 am
Bud
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The gov is bailing out everyone even non-citizens whats the worst case if someone ineligible applies and gets the money? They have to pay it back are they really going to criminally charge anyone. I think many people now feel they've been treated unfairly not all are poor. They are bailing out speculators.

Is cra able to cross reference with the provinces? For example, if people are receiving benefits from a province will their radar pick that up.

"Broadly speaking, you have to reside in Canada, have a Social Insurance Number, be at least 15 years of age and have earned at least $5,000 over the past 12 months. Non-permanent residents and non-citizens are also eligible for the benefit as long as they meet the above criteria."

April 9, 2020
9:32 am
Doug
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Bud said They are bailing out speculators.

I strongly disagree with this. How do you figure, Bud?

Is cra able to cross reference with the provinces? For example, if people are receiving benefits from a province will their radar pick that up.

They will be able to check if you received provincial workers' compensation or income assistance payments; however, nothing in the CERB precludes one from simultaneously receiving one of those payments. Think of someone who applied for provincial income assistance because they were EI ineligible before the CERB was announced. The CERB payment may effect eligibility for provincial workers' compensation or income assistance.

Note, too, the CERB criteria is pretty inadequate. It does nothing for those who worked two or more jobs and lost one or more of their jobs, retaining one. It does nothing for post-secondary or graduating secondary students, who are either ineligible for Canada Summer Jobs jobs* (*to the extent they're all still offered) or otherwise unable to find employment for the duration of the emergency.

We're on pace to have a $180 billion deficit because of this (a conservative estimate)...what's another $20 billion to fill in the cracks?

Cheers,
Doug

April 9, 2020
10:13 am
Bud
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Doug said

Bud said They are bailing out speculators.

I strongly disagree with this. How do you figure, Bud?

They will be able to check if you received provincial workers' compensation or income assistance payments
offered)

Will the provinces be able to cross reference their "clients" to see who's receiving cerb? Then clawback benefits.

"The central bank also provided more detail on its market interventions, including plans to buy corporate bonds both at an investment-grade level as well as high-yield, or junk, bonds." Cnbc

April 9, 2020
11:18 am
Doug
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Bud said

Doug said

Bud said They are bailing out speculators.

I strongly disagree with this. How do you figure, Bud?

They will be able to check if you received provincial workers' compensation or income assistance payments
offered)

Will the provinces be able to cross reference their "clients" to see who's receiving cerb? Then clawback benefits.

"The central bank also provided more detail on its market interventions, including plans to buy corporate bonds both at an investment-grade level as well as high-yield, or junk, bonds." Cnbc  

1) They have an audit team that can compel the client to provide income source information, and they, too, can review clients' income tax returns as the client has to agree to data sharing between the ministry and the CRA to be eligible to receive benefits.

2) That's not a bailout. That's providing liquidity. The central bank will not be buying bonds at par value. They're just there to provide liquidity support in the market by buying bonds at the prevailing market rates so that there is a buyer for each willing seller. In many cases, they'll probably be buying bonds at discounts, so they may actually turn a profit when sold. BoC Sr. Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins hinted that the BoC's Governing Council may consider further measures, at a future meeting, to provide liquidity in the Canadian corporate bond market as well. So it likely won't be limited to just the U.S. Fed (and Japan's central bank, which has been doing this for years).

Cheers,
Doug

April 9, 2020
2:27 pm
savemoresaveoften
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Doug said

2) That's not a bailout. That's providing liquidity. The central bank will not be buying bonds at par value. They're just there to provide liquidity support in the market by buying bonds at the prevailing market rates so that there is a buyer for each willing seller. In many cases, they'll probably be buying bonds at discounts, so they may actually turn a profit when sold. BoC Sr. Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins hinted that the BoC's Governing Council may consider further measures, at a future meeting, to provide liquidity in the Canadian corporate bond market as well. So it likely won't be limited to just the U.S. Fed (and Japan's central bank, which has been doing this for years).

Cheers,
Doug  

Well the trick is if the bonds last traded at 90 cents on the dollar and no bid at all and something trying to sell, what level is the govt buying it at.... If its 60 cents bid, its pretty useless...

April 9, 2020
3:07 pm
Doug
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savemoresaveoften said

Well the trick is if the bonds last traded at 90 cents on the dollar and no bid at all and something trying to sell, what level is the govt buying it at.... If its 60 cents bid, its pretty useless...  

I suspect they are working with their primary dealers to stipulate bid/ask spread entry points. It wouldn't be at 60 cents, that's for sure. I doubt, very much, it'd be more than 10 cents below the current ask price. sf-cool

Cheers,
Doug

April 9, 2020
3:29 pm
Norman1
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There isn't much of a spread in prices for the bonds that the Bank of Canada could be buying.

The programs are limited to Government of Canada bonds, Canada mortgage bonds, short-term bankers' acceptances, short-term provincial treasury bills, and short-term commercial paper.

The short-term commercial paper program is limited to three-month commercial paper, from governments and companies, that is rated R-1 (low) or better.

April 9, 2020
4:21 pm
Bill
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The CERB was designed to help those who were working but now aren't due to covid-19, that'll answer some of these questions. It was not designed for those who weren't working anyway, weren't making employment income, to start getting money due to covid-19.

This year farmers won't be able to get in the foreign workers to do the work Canadians won't do. Why not pay students, etc to work those jobs this year instead of paying them not to work and losing agricultural production due to lack of other workers?

April 9, 2020
10:53 pm
Norman1
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savemoresaveoften said

I read some news saying 500k workers fall under that category. Govt look after student's summer job and not seasonal workers that work every year.
If anything the $5k min earn from past 12 months should qualify a seasonal worker in my mind.

It doesn't because the $5,000 of employment/self-employment income, last year or in the last 12 months, just qualifies the person to be a "worker" under the section 2 of the Canada Emergency Response Benefit Act.

The "worker" needs to further meet the eligibility requirements in section 6. One of the requirements is paragraph 6(1)(a):

6(1)(a) the worker, whether employed or self-employed, ceases working for reasons related to COVID-19 for at least 14 consecutive days within the four-week period in respect of which they apply for the payment; and …

Ceasing to work last year because the season ended or resigning a job last year to return to school does not meet that requirement.

April 10, 2020
5:10 am
savemoresaveoften
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Norman1 said

savemoresaveoften said

I read some news saying 500k workers fall under that category. Govt look after student's summer job and not seasonal workers that work every year.
If anything the $5k min earn from past 12 months should qualify a seasonal worker in my mind.

It doesn't because the $5,000 of employment/self-employment income, last year or in the last 12 months, just qualifies the person to be a "worker" under the section 2 of the Canada Emergency Response Benefit Act.

The "worker" needs to further meet the eligibility requirements in section 6. One of the requirements is paragraph 6(1)(a):

6(1)(a) the worker, whether employed or self-employed, ceases working for reasons related to COVID-19 for at least 14 consecutive days within the four-week period in respect of which they apply for the payment; and …

Ceasing to work last year because the season ended or resigning a job last year to return to school does not meet that requirement.  

I am just saying seasonal workers should be covered as well. If I look at the other emergency help plans, 75% wage subsidy (from 10% jump) and 15% revenue drop (from 30%) are just way too generous and senseless, especially the 15% revenue drop. Any business can experience 15% revenue drop or more during evening normal / normal recession times. The govt did not / should not subsidize wage in the past, yet doing it now... 30% is the right amount and yet Trudeau just wanted to be Santa and buy votes, yet at the same time leaving some other vulnerable sectors....

April 10, 2020
8:05 am
Norman1
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The required revenue drop is still 30% for the proposed 75% wage subsidy program.

The required revenue drop is 15% just for the month of March. That's because businesses were being shutdown starting around the middle of the month and not the start of month.

Details from Additional Details on the Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy:

Eligible Employers

Eligible employers would include individuals, taxable corporations, partnerships consisting of eligible employers, non-profit organizations and registered charities.

This subsidy would be available to eligible employers that see a drop of at least 15 per cent of their revenue in March 2020 and 30 per cent for the following months (see Eligible Periods). In applying for the subsidy, employers would be required to attest to the decline in revenue.

Seasonal workers and students are not covered by the CERB program or the proposed Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy program. The programs are still a work in progress and can be adjusted.

April 10, 2020
10:48 am
Bill
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NDP proposal is just to give everybody money and then tax it back later from those who didn't need it (if I understood Singh right). That would be cool for some (say students or people who just don't work) who won't have enough income to later get it clawed back. Minority government, very possible CERB will be amended a few times.

April 10, 2020
11:36 am
Norman1
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Not a good idea to give money to everyone.

Some people, like the drug addicts, didn't have a job and had no prospects for a job, before the COVID-19 virus reached Canada. They didn't lose any income from the COVID-19 situation.

Ditto for those who were going take a year off anyways and wander through Europe "to find themselves."

The welfare cheques are still being issued on time. People who had been living solely on welfare should not be getting a "pay raise" because of COVID-19.

I can see why the NDP would want to just give everyone money.

April 11, 2020
8:10 am
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Norman1 said
The welfare cheques are still being issued on time. People who had been living solely on welfare should not be getting a "pay raise" because of COVID-19.
 

Many of these recipients will apply for cerb anyway, some deserve it, and the gov wont be able to claw it back.

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