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BoC on 'Hold' for a while ?
October 22, 2019
1:43 pm
Dean
Valhalla Mountains, British Columbia
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sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

October 25, 2019
10:25 am
Dean
Valhalla Mountains, British Columbia
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sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

October 25, 2019
11:15 am
Londonguy
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Dean said
.
Next Wednesday will tell . . .
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/poloz-may-see-less-growth-bang-in-trudeau-s-fiscal-bucks-economists-1.1337620  

There's no compelling short-term reason to raise or reason to cut, and we are after all talking about reactive (not proactive) central bankers here, so IMO you should expect nothing

October 25, 2019
8:02 pm
Bud
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If u.s. cuts theres room for BoC to cut do u think? I hope not

October 26, 2019
10:02 am
Dean
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Bud said

If u.s. cuts theres room for BoC to cut do u think? I hope not  

For the 'Canadian' economy, there appears to be no need or reason to Cut, at this time ... so I'm guessing the BoC will continue to 'Hold' for now.

If the world economy starts to drag us down (which it probably will), we can expect to see some Cuts by the BoC next year.

sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

October 26, 2019
10:12 am
Londonguy
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Bud said
If u.s. cuts theres room for BoC to cut do u think? I hope not  

There is always that "monkey see, monkey do" possibility, but in the current environment it's my expectation the BOC would only follow a US cut if the loonie started getting too strong as a result and thereby started to pose a threat to Canadian exports.

In the absence of such pressure, however, IMO they would be wise to simply leave everything where it lies and keep fostering that same old aura of Canadian financial stability to the rest of the world, especially so close on the heels of a federal election.

As for the US cutting rates, I'm not so sure they want to be doing that just yet because of all the mixed signals in the economy -- some data is strong while other data is weak -- plus they currently have a problem in their overnight repo market to solve first because of the inverted yield curve, which is technically pressuring US short term rates up while the Fed is busy printing money trying to hold them down. As long as that little tug-of-war stays neutral, I expect little to change but what the heck do I know

October 27, 2019
5:34 am
Loonie
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Inflation is moving right along in the target range, which it has rarely been the last ten years. (Significant increases in OAS the last 2 quarters)
I would have thought higher inflation would help maintain interest rates. No?
If not, I may have to change my name from Loonie to Toonie.sf-wink

October 30, 2019
9:38 am
Dean
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As we expected ... BoC 'Holds'.

Link ➡ https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/bank-of-canada-holds-rates-warns-economy-will-be-tested-1.1340047

Selkirk (a.k.a. Dean)

sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

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